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4 Aug 2014

USD longs added, mainly against EUR - Nomura

FXStreet (Bali) - For the week ended July 29, specs added $6.3bn to USD net longs, notes Nomura, estimating they added another $4.8bn since.

Key Quotes

"Speculative accounts bought $6.3bn of USD by Tuesday and another $4.8bn by Friday‟s close. The buying between Tuesdays was one of the largest in the past year. The buying also pushed USD positioning to the highest levels since February. Our real time estimate of USD positioning is $22.4bn, which is near the peaks of the past year ($25.7bn in January and $23.5bn in September of last year). It was a very US data centric week, but most of the data came after Tuesday. This suggests that speculators got long USD in anticipation of the data in large part, as well as in reaction to the data."

"EUR was sold to the tune of $3.2bn by Tuesday and we estimate an additional $1.0bn since. Positioning by Tuesday was -$18.1bn (est. -$19.1bn by Friday) which is the lowest since August 2012."

"JPY shorts were added to by $2.3bn through Tuesday (and an estimated additional $1.7bn since). This brought positioning down to -$8.9bn by Tuesday and -$10.6bn by Friday. This is a significant reversal, and brought positioning down to the most net short level since April."
Aug 4, 2014

EUR/USD: Long road ahead before confirming upward continuation - FXStreet

Valeria Bednarik, Chief Analyst at FXStreet, notes that despite the EUR/USD bounce from last Friday, the shared-currency seems to have a long road ahead before confirming an upward continuation.
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Aug 4, 2014

USD/JPY around 102.50, day lows

USD/JPY is trading around 102.50-55, slightly lower than its NY close at 102.60, with Nikkei 225 futures down over 0.8%, on the back of a somewhat soft US NFP report.
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