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21 May 2025

USD/JPY: Bias for USD is on the downside – UOB Group

There is scope for US Dollar (USD) to edge lower to 143.80 vs Japanese Yen (JPY); a sustained break below this level seems unlikely. In the longer run, the bias for USD is on the downside toward 143.80, potentially to 143.30, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

USD/JPY can potentially fall to 143.30

24-HOUR VIEW: "Subsequent to USD price action on Monday, we highlighted yesterday, Tuesday that 'There has been no further increase in downward momentum, and instead of weakening today, USD is more likely to trade between 144.60 and 145.70.' Our assessment was incorrect. USD rose to 145.51, dropped to 144.07 and then rebounded to close at 144.50, lower by 0.24%. We still do not detect a significant increase in downward momentum. However, there is scope for USD to edge lower to 143.80. A sustained break below this level seems unlikely. The next support at 143.30 is also unlikely to come into view. Resistance is at 144.75, followed by 145.10."

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: "We have expected USD to consolidate since last week. In our latest narrative from two days ago (19 Mays, spot at 145.30), we indicated that USD 'remains in a consolidation, but we now tighten the range to 144.50/147.30.' Yesterday, USD dropped below 144.50, reaching a low of 144.07. Despite the decline, there has been no significant increase in downward momentum. That said, the bias for USD is on the downside toward 143.80, potentially reaching 143.30. To maintain the momentum, USD must remain below 145.80."

May 21, 2025

AUD/USD Price Forecast: Sets for volatility expansion

The AUD/USD pair moves higher to near 0.6460 during European trading hours on Wednesday. The Aussie pair gains as the US Dollar (USD) continues to underperform its peers on the back of the United States (US) Sovereign Credit rating erosion.
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May 21, 2025

Mexican Peso retreats against the US Dollar ahead of Mexican Retail Sales data, US tax vote

The Mexican Peso (MXN) and the US Dollar (USD) are gearing up for a crucial day of economic and fundamental headwinds, which could offer further insight into the current and projected growth outlooks for both economies.
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